The IL-04 district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and Cook County base with historical margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Patty Garcia secured the nomination unopposed after incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retired, while Republican Lupe Castillo faces no primary opposition and independents such as Chris Getty remain lesser-known despite ballot access. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A July 2026 poll showed Garcia leading but with 37% undecided, leaving limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts in turnout, endorsements, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
IL -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$59,348 वॉल्यूम
$59,348 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$59,348 वॉल्यूम
$59,348 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$43,279 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,069 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and Cook County base with historical margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Patty Garcia secured the nomination unopposed after incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retired, while Republican Lupe Castillo faces no primary opposition and independents such as Chris Getty remain lesser-known despite ballot access. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A July 2026 poll showed Garcia leading but with 37% undecided, leaving limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts in turnout, endorsements, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$59,348समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and Cook County base with historical margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Patty Garcia secured the nomination unopposed after incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retired, while Republican Lupe Castillo faces no primary opposition and independents such as Chris Getty remain lesser-known despite ballot access. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A July 2026 poll showed Garcia leading but with 37% undecided, leaving limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts in turnout, endorsements, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$59,348समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IL-04 district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Chicago and Cook County base with historical margins exceeding 25 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Patty Garcia secured the nomination unopposed after incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retired, while Republican Lupe Castillo faces no primary opposition and independents such as Chris Getty remain lesser-known despite ballot access. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A July 2026 poll showed Garcia leading but with 37% undecided, leaving limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts in turnout, endorsements, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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