Frank Mrvan, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Barb Regnitz in the November general election for Indiana's 1st congressional district. The seat's Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and Mrvan's 2024 victory margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-2025 Republican effort to redraw the map and strengthen GOP positioning failed in the state Senate, preserving the existing boundaries. With primaries concluded months ago and no major subsequent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, the race remains rated Likely Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIN-01 House Election Winner
IN-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
15%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,892 वॉल्यूम
83%
Republican Party
$781 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Mrvan, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Barb Regnitz in the November general election for Indiana's 1st congressional district. The seat's Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and Mrvan's 2024 victory margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-2025 Republican effort to redraw the map and strengthen GOP positioning failed in the state Senate, preserving the existing boundaries. With primaries concluded months ago and no major subsequent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, the race remains rated Likely Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,673समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frank Mrvan, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Barb Regnitz in the November general election for Indiana's 1st congressional district. The seat's Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and Mrvan's 2024 victory margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-2025 Republican effort to redraw the map and strengthen GOP positioning failed in the state Senate, preserving the existing boundaries. With primaries concluded months ago and no major subsequent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, the race remains rated Likely Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,673समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Frank Mrvan, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Barb Regnitz in the November general election for Indiana's 1st congressional district. The seat's Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and Mrvan's 2024 victory margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late-2025 Republican effort to redraw the map and strengthen GOP positioning failed in the state Senate, preserving the existing boundaries. With primaries concluded months ago and no major subsequent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, the race remains rated Likely Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the current implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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