**Current forecasts from multiple global models point to an overnight low near 18°C for Beijing on September 15 under clear skies, light winds, and dry air, which supports the balanced market-implied odds around the 14–19°C range.** High pressure and radiative cooling overnight are the main drivers, with historical September averages near 16°C providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to both cooler outliers and milder readings. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer moisture, minimum dew points, and wind speeds create the spread across bins, as small changes in these variables can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Newer model runs and any late-day observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C या उससे कम 63%
19°C या अधिक 63%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
63%
10°C
9%
11°C
5%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
31%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C या अधिक
63%
9°C या उससे कम 63%
19°C या अधिक 63%
14°C 40%
18°C 37%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
63%
10°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
9%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
14°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
31%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
17°C
$50 वॉल्यूम
19%
18°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
37%
19°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple global models point to an overnight low near 18°C for Beijing on September 15 under clear skies, light winds, and dry air, which supports the balanced market-implied odds around the 14–19°C range.**
High pressure and radiative cooling overnight are the main drivers, with historical September averages near 16°C providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to both cooler outliers and milder readings. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer moisture, minimum dew points, and wind speeds create the spread across bins, as small changes in these variables can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Newer model runs and any late-day observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$113समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple global models point to an overnight low near 18°C for Beijing on September 15 under clear skies, light winds, and dry air, which supports the balanced market-implied odds around the 14–19°C range.**
High pressure and radiative cooling overnight are the main drivers, with historical September averages near 16°C providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to both cooler outliers and milder readings. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer moisture, minimum dew points, and wind speeds create the spread across bins, as small changes in these variables can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Newer model runs and any late-day observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$113समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple global models point to an overnight low near 18°C for Beijing on September 15 under clear skies, light winds, and dry air, which supports the balanced market-implied odds around the 14–19°C range.** High pressure and radiative cooling overnight are the main drivers, with historical September averages near 16°C providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to both cooler outliers and milder readings. Subtle differences in model depictions of boundary-layer moisture, minimum dew points, and wind speeds create the spread across bins, as small changes in these variables can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Newer model runs and any late-day observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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