**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain have driven radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models converging on a minimum near 16°C for September 19.** This setup features light southeast winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover, limiting heat retention and producing typical late-summer nocturnal drops. The market-implied probabilities heavily favor 13–14°C (combined ~100% likelihood for those two outcomes), reflecting trader consensus that aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.9°C while discounting warmer recent model runs. Limited variability from the GFS and other ensembles, absent any incoming fronts or moisture, keeps the chance of 12°C or below minimal at 4%. Updated observations through the evening continue to support resolution near these levels, with final official readings expected shortly after midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 99.5%
13°C 92%
12°C या उससे कम 8%
15°C <1%
$1,084 वॉल्यूम
$1,084 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
हाँ
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
नहीं
14°C 99.5%
13°C 92%
12°C या उससे कम 8%
15°C <1%
$1,084 वॉल्यूम
$1,084 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
हाँ
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain have driven radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, with official forecasts from AEMET and numerical models converging on a minimum near 16°C for September 19.** This setup features light southeast winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover, limiting heat retention and producing typical late-summer nocturnal drops. The market-implied probabilities heavily favor 13–14°C (combined ~100% likelihood for those two outcomes), reflecting trader consensus that aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.9°C while discounting warmer recent model runs. Limited variability from the GFS and other ensembles, absent any incoming fronts or moisture, keeps the chance of 12°C or below minimal at 4%. Updated observations through the evening continue to support resolution near these levels, with final official readings expected shortly after midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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