Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C या उससे कम 99%
31°C या उससे अधिक 98%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C या उससे कम
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C या उससे अधिक
98%
21°C या उससे कम 99%
31°C या उससे अधिक 98%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C या उससे कम
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C या उससे अधिक
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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