Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility early on September 3, sustains thick cloud cover, high humidity near 85–92%, and steady southwest winds of 10–15 m/s over Manila. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–27°C, consistent with multiple model runs showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F). Urban heat retention in the metro area further buffers against sharper drops. With no landfalling cyclone nearby and model consensus on continued overcast, rainy conditions, trader probabilities cluster on the 25–27°C outcomes while assigning lower weight to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or weaker monsoon winds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C या उससे कम 50%
23°C 50%
26°C 44%
25°C 44%
21°C या उससे कम
50%
22°C
5%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
21°C या उससे कम 50%
23°C 50%
26°C 44%
25°C 44%
21°C या उससे कम
50%
22°C
5%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, enhanced by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility early on September 3, sustains thick cloud cover, high humidity near 85–92%, and steady southwest winds of 10–15 m/s over Manila. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–27°C, consistent with multiple model runs showing overnight lows of 26–27°C (79–81°F). Urban heat retention in the metro area further buffers against sharper drops. With no landfalling cyclone nearby and model consensus on continued overcast, rainy conditions, trader probabilities cluster on the 25–27°C outcomes while assigning lower weight to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or weaker monsoon winds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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