**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 14°C low for Moscow on August 21, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among weather models and official forecasts that this will be the day's minimum temperature.** Authoritative guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models (including GFS ensembles) points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the thermometer bottoming out near 12–14°C in the city proper after daytime highs of 22–24°C. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with moderate humidity and atmospheric pressure around 746–748 mmHg, limit further cooling while supporting the consensus minimum. Historical August climatology for Moscow (typical lows near 12–15°C) aligns with these conditions, reinforcing trader confidence in the 14°C outcome as the most likely recorded low across official stations. Realistic challenges include clearer-than-expected skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 12–13°C, localized variations at measurement sites, or late forecast revisions from updated model runs showing stronger advection of cooler air. With the day well underway, additional data releases or real-time observations could still introduce minor shifts before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 100.0%
10°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$9,752 वॉल्यूम
$9,752 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$9,752 वॉल्यूम
$9,752 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$289 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$207 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$200 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$122 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$42 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
Yes
15°C
$294 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$8,008 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$160 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$140 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C or higher
$145 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 14°C low for Moscow on August 21, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among weather models and official forecasts that this will be the day's minimum temperature.**
Authoritative guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models (including GFS ensembles) points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the thermometer bottoming out near 12–14°C in the city proper after daytime highs of 22–24°C. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with moderate humidity and atmospheric pressure around 746–748 mmHg, limit further cooling while supporting the consensus minimum. Historical August climatology for Moscow (typical lows near 12–15°C) aligns with these conditions, reinforcing trader confidence in the 14°C outcome as the most likely recorded low across official stations.
Realistic challenges include clearer-than-expected skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 12–13°C, localized variations at measurement sites, or late forecast revisions from updated model runs showing stronger advection of cooler air. With the day well underway, additional data releases or real-time observations could still introduce minor shifts before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,752समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 14°C low for Moscow on August 21, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among weather models and official forecasts that this will be the day's minimum temperature.**
Authoritative guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models (including GFS ensembles) points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the thermometer bottoming out near 12–14°C in the city proper after daytime highs of 22–24°C. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with moderate humidity and atmospheric pressure around 746–748 mmHg, limit further cooling while supporting the consensus minimum. Historical August climatology for Moscow (typical lows near 12–15°C) aligns with these conditions, reinforcing trader confidence in the 14°C outcome as the most likely recorded low across official stations.
Realistic challenges include clearer-than-expected skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 12–13°C, localized variations at measurement sites, or late forecast revisions from updated model runs showing stronger advection of cooler air. With the day well underway, additional data releases or real-time observations could still introduce minor shifts before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,752समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 14°C low for Moscow on August 21, 2026, at 99% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement among weather models and official forecasts that this will be the day's minimum temperature.** Authoritative guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models (including GFS ensembles) points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the thermometer bottoming out near 12–14°C in the city proper after daytime highs of 22–24°C. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s, combined with moderate humidity and atmospheric pressure around 746–748 mmHg, limit further cooling while supporting the consensus minimum. Historical August climatology for Moscow (typical lows near 12–15°C) aligns with these conditions, reinforcing trader confidence in the 14°C outcome as the most likely recorded low across official stations. Realistic challenges include clearer-than-expected skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 12–13°C, localized variations at measurement sites, or late forecast revisions from updated model runs showing stronger advection of cooler air. With the day well underway, additional data releases or real-time observations could still introduce minor shifts before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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