Trader sentiment for the August 24 rainfall market has been driven primarily by National Weather Service and NOAA data showing scattered thunderstorms across the Southwest and Southeast U.S. Monsoon moisture fueled isolated heavy rain and flash flood risks in Arizona, including Phoenix metro areas, while a stalled frontal boundary and deep instability supported convective showers from the Plains into the Gulf Coast and Southeast. Model consensus highlighted localized, short-duration events rather than widespread systems, with official gauges serving as resolution criteria. Historical August patterns indicate such monsoon-driven activity often concentrates measurable precipitation in the desert Southwest, aligning with current market-implied odds near 98% for Phoenix. Updated mesoscale discussions and gauge reports expected through August 25 could refine final outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को कहाँ बारिश होगी?

New York, NY
3%

Los Angeles, CA
1%

Chicago, IL
2%

Houston, TX
1%

Dallas, TX
1%

Phoenix, AZ
100%

Philadelphia, PA
3%

Denver, CO
94%

Washington, DC
5%

Atlanta, GA
45%

मियामी, एफएल
100%

सिएटल, WA
3%

बोस्टन, एमए
50%

न्यू ऑरलियन्स, एलए
100%

सैन फ्रांसिस्को, कैलिफोर्निया
4%
$4,758 वॉल्यूम

New York, NY
3%

Los Angeles, CA
1%

Chicago, IL
2%

Houston, TX
1%

Dallas, TX
1%

Phoenix, AZ
100%

Philadelphia, PA
3%

Denver, CO
94%

Washington, DC
5%

Atlanta, GA
45%

मियामी, एफएल
100%

सिएटल, WA
3%

बोस्टन, एमए
50%

न्यू ऑरलियन्स, एलए
100%

सैन फ्रांसिस्को, कैलिफोर्निया
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Trader sentiment for the August 24 rainfall market has been driven primarily by National Weather Service and NOAA data showing scattered thunderstorms across the Southwest and Southeast U.S. Monsoon moisture fueled isolated heavy rain and flash flood risks in Arizona, including Phoenix metro areas, while a stalled frontal boundary and deep instability supported convective showers from the Plains into the Gulf Coast and Southeast. Model consensus highlighted localized, short-duration events rather than widespread systems, with official gauges serving as resolution criteria. Historical August patterns indicate such monsoon-driven activity often concentrates measurable precipitation in the desert Southwest, aligning with current market-implied odds near 98% for Phoenix. Updated mesoscale discussions and gauge reports expected through August 25 could refine final outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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