Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a cooling shift for Paris overnight on September 15–16, with northwest winds and increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after peak daytime highs near 30°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature clustered around 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 39.5% and 37% respectively. Differentiation between 12°C and 14°C outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, which could enhance or suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C. Historical mid-September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current patterns reflect a warmer baseline. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C 39%
15°C 35%
12°C 34%
14°C 34%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
3%
12°C
34%
13°C
39%
14°C
34%
15°C
35%
16°C
29%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C या अधिक
2%
13°C 39%
15°C 35%
12°C 34%
14°C 34%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
13°C
$283 वॉल्यूम
39%
14°C
$169 वॉल्यूम
34%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
35%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
21°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a cooling shift for Paris overnight on September 15–16, with northwest winds and increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after peak daytime highs near 30°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature clustered around 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 39.5% and 37% respectively. Differentiation between 12°C and 14°C outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, which could enhance or suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C. Historical mid-September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current patterns reflect a warmer baseline. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$452समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a cooling shift for Paris overnight on September 15–16, with northwest winds and increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after peak daytime highs near 30°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature clustered around 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 39.5% and 37% respectively. Differentiation between 12°C and 14°C outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, which could enhance or suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C. Historical mid-September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current patterns reflect a warmer baseline. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$452समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a cooling shift for Paris overnight on September 15–16, with northwest winds and increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after peak daytime highs near 30°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature clustered around 13–14°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 39.5% and 37% respectively. Differentiation between 12°C and 14°C outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any timing shifts in a weak frontal passage, which could enhance or suppress overnight lows by 1–2°C. Historical mid-September averages near 11.5°C provide context, yet current patterns reflect a warmer baseline. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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