**Current forecasts from multiple sources (including Chinese weather services and international models) point to a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds.** This reflects the strong moderating influence of the Yellow Sea, where coastal location and marine air masses typically limit nighttime cooling and daytime heating compared to inland areas at similar latitudes. **Trader positioning on 22°C or below (44.5%) as the leading outcome, alongside notable weight on 32°C+, appears driven by uncertainty around short-term model variability rather than recent observations.** No major synoptic developments—such as cold fronts, typhoon remnants, or significant pressure changes—have emerged in the past 48 hours to support substantial cooling below the seasonal baseline. Historical August minima average near 22–24°C, but 2026 conditions have trended warmer, consistent with the latest runs showing stable marine influence and minimal diurnal range. **Key upcoming catalysts include updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, which could refine the overnight low as the date approaches.** The implied probabilities aggregate trader assessments of forecast skill and resolution criteria (official daily minimum measurement), with the current distribution highlighting greater market uncertainty than the consensus model output currently supports.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे कम तापमान?
26 अगस्त को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C या उससे कम 93%
32°C या उससे अधिक 55%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
93%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
2%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C
37%
32°C या उससे अधिक
55%
22°C या उससे कम 93%
32°C या उससे अधिक 55%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
93%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources (including Chinese weather services and international models) point to a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds.** This reflects the strong moderating influence of the Yellow Sea, where coastal location and marine air masses typically limit nighttime cooling and daytime heating compared to inland areas at similar latitudes.
**Trader positioning on 22°C or below (44.5%) as the leading outcome, alongside notable weight on 32°C+, appears driven by uncertainty around short-term model variability rather than recent observations.** No major synoptic developments—such as cold fronts, typhoon remnants, or significant pressure changes—have emerged in the past 48 hours to support substantial cooling below the seasonal baseline. Historical August minima average near 22–24°C, but 2026 conditions have trended warmer, consistent with the latest runs showing stable marine influence and minimal diurnal range.
**Key upcoming catalysts include updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, which could refine the overnight low as the date approaches.** The implied probabilities aggregate trader assessments of forecast skill and resolution criteria (official daily minimum measurement), with the current distribution highlighting greater market uncertainty than the consensus model output currently supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources (including Chinese weather services and international models) point to a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds.** This reflects the strong moderating influence of the Yellow Sea, where coastal location and marine air masses typically limit nighttime cooling and daytime heating compared to inland areas at similar latitudes.
**Trader positioning on 22°C or below (44.5%) as the leading outcome, alongside notable weight on 32°C+, appears driven by uncertainty around short-term model variability rather than recent observations.** No major synoptic developments—such as cold fronts, typhoon remnants, or significant pressure changes—have emerged in the past 48 hours to support substantial cooling below the seasonal baseline. Historical August minima average near 22–24°C, but 2026 conditions have trended warmer, consistent with the latest runs showing stable marine influence and minimal diurnal range.
**Key upcoming catalysts include updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, which could refine the overnight low as the date approaches.** The implied probabilities aggregate trader assessments of forecast skill and resolution criteria (official daily minimum measurement), with the current distribution highlighting greater market uncertainty than the consensus model output currently supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources (including Chinese weather services and international models) point to a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 around 25–27°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds.** This reflects the strong moderating influence of the Yellow Sea, where coastal location and marine air masses typically limit nighttime cooling and daytime heating compared to inland areas at similar latitudes. **Trader positioning on 22°C or below (44.5%) as the leading outcome, alongside notable weight on 32°C+, appears driven by uncertainty around short-term model variability rather than recent observations.** No major synoptic developments—such as cold fronts, typhoon remnants, or significant pressure changes—have emerged in the past 48 hours to support substantial cooling below the seasonal baseline. Historical August minima average near 22–24°C, but 2026 conditions have trended warmer, consistent with the latest runs showing stable marine influence and minimal diurnal range. **Key upcoming catalysts include updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, which could refine the overnight low as the date approaches.** The implied probabilities aggregate trader assessments of forecast skill and resolution criteria (official daily minimum measurement), with the current distribution highlighting greater market uncertainty than the consensus model output currently supports.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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