**Clear skies and moderate northerly winds are the main drivers behind market-implied odds favoring a 17–19 °C low for Qingdao on September 6.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 29 °C under sunny conditions, with overnight radiative cooling expected to bring the minimum into the low 20s °C. Light northeast-to-north winds of 3–4 Beaufort levels may enhance advection of slightly cooler continental air while limiting mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further than on preceding nights. Historical September averages for the coastal site hover around 18–22 °C lows, and current model consensus aligns closely with the clustered 18 °C (39.5 %) and 19 °C (31.5 %) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among leading probabilities as reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and local sea-breeze influences rather than any abrupt synoptic shift. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded by 06:00–08:00 local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
16°C या उससे कम
17%
17°C
26%
18°C
40%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C या अधिक
14%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
16°C या उससे कम
17%
17°C
26%
18°C
40%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C या अधिक
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and moderate northerly winds are the main drivers behind market-implied odds favoring a 17–19 °C low for Qingdao on September 6.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate daytime highs near 29 °C under sunny conditions, with overnight radiative cooling expected to bring the minimum into the low 20s °C. Light northeast-to-north winds of 3–4 Beaufort levels may enhance advection of slightly cooler continental air while limiting mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop further than on preceding nights. Historical September averages for the coastal site hover around 18–22 °C lows, and current model consensus aligns closely with the clustered 18 °C (39.5 %) and 19 °C (31.5 %) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among leading probabilities as reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and local sea-breeze influences rather than any abrupt synoptic shift. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded by 06:00–08:00 local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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