Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 15°C as Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 6, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) nowcasts and real-time observations from official stations like Haneda, where morning readings started near 18°C under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Current evening temperatures hover around 17–18°C with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with model ensembles projecting a minimum in the mid-teens Celsius—consistent with May climatological norms of 13.6°C daily lows but elevated by recent frontal passages stabilizing the boundary layer. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing after midnight, potentially dropping 1–2°C via enhanced infrared loss, though high humidity and urban heat island effects in Tokyo make sub-14°C unlikely; final JMA data release post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$47,506 वॉल्यूम
$47,506 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$47,506 वॉल्यूम
$47,506 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
11°C or below
$6,347 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$2,196 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$2,950 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$8,728 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$3,473 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$12,530 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$2,332 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$975 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$798 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$4,687 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C or higher
$2,491 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 15°C as Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 6, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) nowcasts and real-time observations from official stations like Haneda, where morning readings started near 18°C under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Current evening temperatures hover around 17–18°C with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with model ensembles projecting a minimum in the mid-teens Celsius—consistent with May climatological norms of 13.6°C daily lows but elevated by recent frontal passages stabilizing the boundary layer. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing after midnight, potentially dropping 1–2°C via enhanced infrared loss, though high humidity and urban heat island effects in Tokyo make sub-14°C unlikely; final JMA data release post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,506समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 15°C as Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 6, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) nowcasts and real-time observations from official stations like Haneda, where morning readings started near 18°C under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Current evening temperatures hover around 17–18°C with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with model ensembles projecting a minimum in the mid-teens Celsius—consistent with May climatological norms of 13.6°C daily lows but elevated by recent frontal passages stabilizing the boundary layer. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing after midnight, potentially dropping 1–2°C via enhanced infrared loss, though high humidity and urban heat island effects in Tokyo make sub-14°C unlikely; final JMA data release post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$47,506समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 15°C as Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 6, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) nowcasts and real-time observations from official stations like Haneda, where morning readings started near 18°C under persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Current evening temperatures hover around 17–18°C with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with model ensembles projecting a minimum in the mid-teens Celsius—consistent with May climatological norms of 13.6°C daily lows but elevated by recent frontal passages stabilizing the boundary layer. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing after midnight, potentially dropping 1–2°C via enhanced infrared loss, though high humidity and urban heat island effects in Tokyo make sub-14°C unlikely; final JMA data release post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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