Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$19,276 वॉल्यूम
$19,276 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
87%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
14%
$19,276 वॉल्यूम
$19,276 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,750 वॉल्यूम
87%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$8,525 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,276समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,276समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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