Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes, remains based inside Iran amid heightened security risks from ongoing regional tensions. US intelligence assessments indicate he operates from an undisclosed domestic location with limited public access, using couriers and elite protective units, while issuing statements and overseeing governance remotely. Recent diplomatic activity, including Pakistan's interior minister delivering messages to him in Iran during June 2026 visits, aligns with earlier Russian diplomatic confirmations of his presence. His role in managing negotiations, military posture, and regime continuity creates structural incentives to stay, though health recovery needs or sudden escalations could alter mobility within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these containment and leadership factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,995,019 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून
1%
$1,995,019 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
$584,787 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes, remains based inside Iran amid heightened security risks from ongoing regional tensions. US intelligence assessments indicate he operates from an undisclosed domestic location with limited public access, using couriers and elite protective units, while issuing statements and overseeing governance remotely. Recent diplomatic activity, including Pakistan's interior minister delivering messages to him in Iran during June 2026 visits, aligns with earlier Russian diplomatic confirmations of his presence. His role in managing negotiations, military posture, and regime continuity creates structural incentives to stay, though health recovery needs or sudden escalations could alter mobility within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these containment and leadership factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,019समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes, remains based inside Iran amid heightened security risks from ongoing regional tensions. US intelligence assessments indicate he operates from an undisclosed domestic location with limited public access, using couriers and elite protective units, while issuing statements and overseeing governance remotely. Recent diplomatic activity, including Pakistan's interior minister delivering messages to him in Iran during June 2026 visits, aligns with earlier Russian diplomatic confirmations of his presence. His role in managing negotiations, military posture, and regime continuity creates structural incentives to stay, though health recovery needs or sudden escalations could alter mobility within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these containment and leadership factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,019समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes, remains based inside Iran amid heightened security risks from ongoing regional tensions. US intelligence assessments indicate he operates from an undisclosed domestic location with limited public access, using couriers and elite protective units, while issuing statements and overseeing governance remotely. Recent diplomatic activity, including Pakistan's interior minister delivering messages to him in Iran during June 2026 visits, aligns with earlier Russian diplomatic confirmations of his presence. His role in managing negotiations, military posture, and regime continuity creates structural incentives to stay, though health recovery needs or sudden escalations could alter mobility within the resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these containment and leadership factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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