Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,995,054 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
1%
$1,995,054 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
1%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न