Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,995,054 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून
1%
$1,995,054 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
$584,822 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,054समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,054समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the 2026 Iran conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued limited statements but made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence and regime sources indicating he is sequestered in an undisclosed location inside Iran, accessible only through secure couriers. Reports of injuries sustained in the initial strikes, combined with ongoing military pressure and internal regime continuity despite the power transition, have sustained speculation about his physical security and potential relocation. These factors, alongside historical patterns of Iranian leaders avoiding exposure during escalations, shape trader assessments of departure timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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