Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during initial U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has remained in hiding since, communicating through couriers from an undisclosed location amid ongoing regional conflict, with U.S. intelligence noting limited access to officials and slowed diplomatic efforts. Recent statements issued via state media address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz access, and opposition to foreign bases, while reports highlight his wounds and security vulnerabilities as a designated target. These factors, alongside internal regime cohesion under IRGC influence and external pressure from sanctions or negotiations, shape assessments of whether he might depart Iran within any resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,995,009 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
1%
$1,995,009 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
1%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during initial U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has remained in hiding since, communicating through couriers from an undisclosed location amid ongoing regional conflict, with U.S. intelligence noting limited access to officials and slowed diplomatic efforts. Recent statements issued via state media address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz access, and opposition to foreign bases, while reports highlight his wounds and security vulnerabilities as a designated target. These factors, alongside internal regime cohesion under IRGC influence and external pressure from sanctions or negotiations, shape assessments of whether he might depart Iran within any resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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