Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, has not appeared publicly amid unconfirmed reports of severe injuries from the same strike, including a lost leg and disfigurement, with rumors of secret evacuation to Russia for treatment. State media relayed his combative messages in March vowing to close the Strait of Hormuz and, on April 9, signaling de-escalation by seeking compensation without further war. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli military actions and internal power consolidation by the Revolutionary Guards fuel speculation on his control and potential flight, though no verified departure has occurred as trader consensus reflects low exit probabilities before late spring amid the protracted conflict.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$877,653 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
30 अप्रैल
2%
31 मई
6%
30 जून
9%
$877,653 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$194,431 वॉल्यूम
2%
31 मई
$12,281 वॉल्यूम
6%
30 जून
$8,464 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, has not appeared publicly amid unconfirmed reports of severe injuries from the same strike, including a lost leg and disfigurement, with rumors of secret evacuation to Russia for treatment. State media relayed his combative messages in March vowing to close the Strait of Hormuz and, on April 9, signaling de-escalation by seeking compensation without further war. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli military actions and internal power consolidation by the Revolutionary Guards fuel speculation on his control and potential flight, though no verified departure has occurred as trader consensus reflects low exit probabilities before late spring amid the protracted conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$877,653समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, has not appeared publicly amid unconfirmed reports of severe injuries from the same strike, including a lost leg and disfigurement, with rumors of secret evacuation to Russia for treatment. State media relayed his combative messages in March vowing to close the Strait of Hormuz and, on April 9, signaling de-escalation by seeking compensation without further war. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli military actions and internal power consolidation by the Revolutionary Guards fuel speculation on his control and potential flight, though no verified departure has occurred as trader consensus reflects low exit probabilities before late spring amid the protracted conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$877,653समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, has not appeared publicly amid unconfirmed reports of severe injuries from the same strike, including a lost leg and disfigurement, with rumors of secret evacuation to Russia for treatment. State media relayed his combative messages in March vowing to close the Strait of Hormuz and, on April 9, signaling de-escalation by seeking compensation without further war. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli military actions and internal power consolidation by the Revolutionary Guards fuel speculation on his control and potential flight, though no verified departure has occurred as trader consensus reflects low exit probabilities before late spring amid the protracted conflict.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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