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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?

Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?

Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?

$1,995,009 वॉल्यूम

30 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$1,995,009 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

30 जून

$584,777 वॉल्यूम

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during initial U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has remained in hiding since, communicating through couriers from an undisclosed location amid ongoing regional conflict, with U.S. intelligence noting limited access to officials and slowed diplomatic efforts. Recent statements issued via state media address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz access, and opposition to foreign bases, while reports highlight his wounds and security vulnerabilities as a designated target. These factors, alongside internal regime cohesion under IRGC influence and external pressure from sanctions or negotiations, shape assessments of whether he might depart Iran within any resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,009
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during initial U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has remained in hiding since, communicating through couriers from an undisclosed location amid ongoing regional conflict, with U.S. intelligence noting limited access to officials and slowed diplomatic efforts. Recent statements issued via state media address nuclear policy, Strait of Hormuz access, and opposition to foreign bases, while reports highlight his wounds and security vulnerabilities as a designated target. These factors, alongside internal regime cohesion under IRGC influence and external pressure from sanctions or negotiations, shape assessments of whether he might depart Iran within any resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,009
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 30 जून 1% (1¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 मार्च 0% पर है।

आज तक, "Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?" ने कुल $2 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 10, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "30 जून" केवल 1% पर है, "31 मार्च" 0% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"Mojtaba Khamenei ईरान से निकलता है...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।