Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father's assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts selecting him unanimously. U.S. intelligence reports indicate he remains in a secure, undisclosed domestic location, communicating only through couriers to evade targeting amid ongoing regional conflict and regime security priorities. No verified departures have occurred, and statements attributed to him continue to be issued from inside Iran. Trader assessments of an imminent exit by a near-term deadline reflect structural barriers from his institutional role, wartime posture, and clerical-military backing, though shifts could arise from escalated external pressure, internal elite fractures, or health developments altering his physical presence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,995,019 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून
1%
$1,995,019 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
$584,787 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father's assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts selecting him unanimously. U.S. intelligence reports indicate he remains in a secure, undisclosed domestic location, communicating only through couriers to evade targeting amid ongoing regional conflict and regime security priorities. No verified departures have occurred, and statements attributed to him continue to be issued from inside Iran. Trader assessments of an imminent exit by a near-term deadline reflect structural barriers from his institutional role, wartime posture, and clerical-military backing, though shifts could arise from escalated external pressure, internal elite fractures, or health developments altering his physical presence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,019समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father's assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts selecting him unanimously. U.S. intelligence reports indicate he remains in a secure, undisclosed domestic location, communicating only through couriers to evade targeting amid ongoing regional conflict and regime security priorities. No verified departures have occurred, and statements attributed to him continue to be issued from inside Iran. Trader assessments of an imminent exit by a near-term deadline reflect structural barriers from his institutional role, wartime posture, and clerical-military backing, though shifts could arise from escalated external pressure, internal elite fractures, or health developments altering his physical presence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,995,019समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father's assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts selecting him unanimously. U.S. intelligence reports indicate he remains in a secure, undisclosed domestic location, communicating only through couriers to evade targeting amid ongoing regional conflict and regime security priorities. No verified departures have occurred, and statements attributed to him continue to be issued from inside Iran. Trader assessments of an imminent exit by a near-term deadline reflect structural barriers from his institutional role, wartime posture, and clerical-military backing, though shifts could arise from escalated external pressure, internal elite fractures, or health developments altering his physical presence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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