Trader consensus heavily favors former state legislator Reilly Neill at 82% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her name recognition, campaign infrastructure, and endorsement from ex-Governor Brian Schweitzer amid a fragmented field of five candidates. Challengers like Tribal Historic Preservation Officer Michael Black Wolf (9%), Kalispell newcomer Kathleen McLaughlin (7%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (2%) trail as first-time contenders with limited visibility. The April 12 Democratic forum in Helena featured Neill, Black Wolf, Hummert, and Bankhead discussing housing, wages, and tribal issues, but no shifts elevated rivals, reinforcing Neill's lead six weeks pre-primary. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of her path to nomination.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाReilly Neill 82%
Michael BlackWolf 9.0%
Kathleen McLaughlin 7.0%
Michael Hummert 4.9%
Reilly Neill
82%
Michael BlackWolf
9%
Kathleen McLaughlin
7%
Michael Hummert
5%
Alani Bankhead
2%
Reilly Neill 82%
Michael BlackWolf 9.0%
Kathleen McLaughlin 7.0%
Michael Hummert 4.9%
Reilly Neill
82%
Michael BlackWolf
9%
Kathleen McLaughlin
7%
Michael Hummert
5%
Alani Bankhead
2%
If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former state legislator Reilly Neill at 82% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her name recognition, campaign infrastructure, and endorsement from ex-Governor Brian Schweitzer amid a fragmented field of five candidates. Challengers like Tribal Historic Preservation Officer Michael Black Wolf (9%), Kalispell newcomer Kathleen McLaughlin (7%), Navy veteran Michael Hummert (5%), and retired Lt. Col. Alani Bankhead (2%) trail as first-time contenders with limited visibility. The April 12 Democratic forum in Helena featured Neill, Black Wolf, Hummert, and Bankhead discussing housing, wages, and tribal issues, but no shifts elevated rivals, reinforcing Neill's lead six weeks pre-primary. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of her path to nomination.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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