Aaron Flint holds a 63.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race primarily because the open western Montana district carries a Republican lean, with ratings organizations classifying it as Likely Republican and recent presidential voting margins favoring the GOP. Flint, a former radio host who secured the Republican nomination with President Trump’s endorsement, benefits from external spending including a $1.92 million ad buy by a Trump-aligned PAC in key markets. Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won the Democratic primary and gained DCCC Red to Blue support, trails at 35.5% amid recent polling showing a near tie or narrow Flint edge. Late September attacks from the Flint campaign on Forstag’s prior lobbying compensation and competing candidate ads have kept the contest active ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$11,837 वॉल्यूम
$11,837 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एरॉन फ्लिंट (रिपब्लिकन)
64%
सैम फॉर्सटेग (डी)
36%
$11,837 वॉल्यूम
$11,837 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एरॉन फ्लिंट (रिपब्लिकन)
$6,338 वॉल्यूम
64%
सैम फॉर्सटेग (डी)
$5,500 वॉल्यूम
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a 63.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race primarily because the open western Montana district carries a Republican lean, with ratings organizations classifying it as Likely Republican and recent presidential voting margins favoring the GOP. Flint, a former radio host who secured the Republican nomination with President Trump’s endorsement, benefits from external spending including a $1.92 million ad buy by a Trump-aligned PAC in key markets. Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won the Democratic primary and gained DCCC Red to Blue support, trails at 35.5% amid recent polling showing a near tie or narrow Flint edge. Late September attacks from the Flint campaign on Forstag’s prior lobbying compensation and competing candidate ads have kept the contest active ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,837समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a 63.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race primarily because the open western Montana district carries a Republican lean, with ratings organizations classifying it as Likely Republican and recent presidential voting margins favoring the GOP. Flint, a former radio host who secured the Republican nomination with President Trump’s endorsement, benefits from external spending including a $1.92 million ad buy by a Trump-aligned PAC in key markets. Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won the Democratic primary and gained DCCC Red to Blue support, trails at 35.5% amid recent polling showing a near tie or narrow Flint edge. Late September attacks from the Flint campaign on Forstag’s prior lobbying compensation and competing candidate ads have kept the contest active ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$11,837समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint holds a 63.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race primarily because the open western Montana district carries a Republican lean, with ratings organizations classifying it as Likely Republican and recent presidential voting margins favoring the GOP. Flint, a former radio host who secured the Republican nomination with President Trump’s endorsement, benefits from external spending including a $1.92 million ad buy by a Trump-aligned PAC in key markets. Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won the Democratic primary and gained DCCC Red to Blue support, trails at 35.5% amid recent polling showing a near tie or narrow Flint edge. Late September attacks from the Flint campaign on Forstag’s prior lobbying compensation and competing candidate ads have kept the contest active ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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