Recent primary results on June 2 established Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint as the general election nominees for Montana's open 1st District seat, previously held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke. This open-seat dynamic in a district with a modest Republican lean has positioned the race as competitive in trader assessments, with the Democratic nominee's path drawing support from national midterm dynamics and candidate positioning. Pre-primary polling showed Flint ahead by narrow margins in head-to-head tests, yet the absence of an incumbent and early general election timeline leave room for shifts through fall campaigning. The implied probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of November voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
47%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
39%
Democratic Party
$400 वॉल्यूम
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primary results on June 2 established Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint as the general election nominees for Montana's open 1st District seat, previously held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke. This open-seat dynamic in a district with a modest Republican lean has positioned the race as competitive in trader assessments, with the Democratic nominee's path drawing support from national midterm dynamics and candidate positioning. Pre-primary polling showed Flint ahead by narrow margins in head-to-head tests, yet the absence of an incumbent and early general election timeline leave room for shifts through fall campaigning. The implied probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,410समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primary results on June 2 established Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint as the general election nominees for Montana's open 1st District seat, previously held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke. This open-seat dynamic in a district with a modest Republican lean has positioned the race as competitive in trader assessments, with the Democratic nominee's path drawing support from national midterm dynamics and candidate positioning. Pre-primary polling showed Flint ahead by narrow margins in head-to-head tests, yet the absence of an incumbent and early general election timeline leave room for shifts through fall campaigning. The implied probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,410समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primary results on June 2 established Democrat Sam Forstag and Republican Aaron Flint as the general election nominees for Montana's open 1st District seat, previously held by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke. This open-seat dynamic in a district with a modest Republican lean has positioned the race as competitive in trader assessments, with the Democratic nominee's path drawing support from national midterm dynamics and candidate positioning. Pre-primary polling showed Flint ahead by narrow margins in head-to-head tests, yet the absence of an incumbent and early general election timeline leave room for shifts through fall campaigning. The implied probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty ahead of November voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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