Montana's 1st congressional district features a conservative-leaning electorate that continues to support Republican candidates in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a 60.5% probability for the Republican Party. As the 2026 midterm cycle advances, early candidate recruitment and fundraising reports highlight the GOP's organizational edge in the district, while Democratic efforts focus on expanding turnout among suburban and independent voters. National conditions under the current administration, including economic indicators and policy debates, remain key variables that could shift margins closer to election day. The 37.5% Democratic probability reflects these competitive elements without decisive movement in either direction over the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
38%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$2,411 वॉल्यूम
61%
Democratic Party
$1,331 वॉल्यूम
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 1st congressional district features a conservative-leaning electorate that continues to support Republican candidates in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a 60.5% probability for the Republican Party. As the 2026 midterm cycle advances, early candidate recruitment and fundraising reports highlight the GOP's organizational edge in the district, while Democratic efforts focus on expanding turnout among suburban and independent voters. National conditions under the current administration, including economic indicators and policy debates, remain key variables that could shift margins closer to election day. The 37.5% Democratic probability reflects these competitive elements without decisive movement in either direction over the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,742समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana's 1st congressional district features a conservative-leaning electorate that continues to support Republican candidates in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a 60.5% probability for the Republican Party. As the 2026 midterm cycle advances, early candidate recruitment and fundraising reports highlight the GOP's organizational edge in the district, while Democratic efforts focus on expanding turnout among suburban and independent voters. National conditions under the current administration, including economic indicators and policy debates, remain key variables that could shift margins closer to election day. The 37.5% Democratic probability reflects these competitive elements without decisive movement in either direction over the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,742समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's 1st congressional district features a conservative-leaning electorate that continues to support Republican candidates in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a 60.5% probability for the Republican Party. As the 2026 midterm cycle advances, early candidate recruitment and fundraising reports highlight the GOP's organizational edge in the district, while Democratic efforts focus on expanding turnout among suburban and independent voters. National conditions under the current administration, including economic indicators and policy debates, remain key variables that could shift margins closer to election day. The 37.5% Democratic probability reflects these competitive elements without decisive movement in either direction over the past month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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