The retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has opened Montana’s 1st Congressional District seat, creating a more competitive general election environment than in prior cycles for this western Montana district. Primaries held June 2 selected Aaron Flint as the Republican nominee and Sam Forstag as the Democratic nominee, both of whom advanced decisively. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party a narrow lead in implied probability, consistent with the district’s mix of urban and rural voters and historical margins that have occasionally narrowed for the minority party. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the immediate aftermath of the primaries, leaving the November outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
34%
Democratic Party
47%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
34%
Democratic Party
$400 वॉल्यूम
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has opened Montana’s 1st Congressional District seat, creating a more competitive general election environment than in prior cycles for this western Montana district. Primaries held June 2 selected Aaron Flint as the Republican nominee and Sam Forstag as the Democratic nominee, both of whom advanced decisively. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party a narrow lead in implied probability, consistent with the district’s mix of urban and rural voters and historical margins that have occasionally narrowed for the minority party. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the immediate aftermath of the primaries, leaving the November outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,410समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has opened Montana’s 1st Congressional District seat, creating a more competitive general election environment than in prior cycles for this western Montana district. Primaries held June 2 selected Aaron Flint as the Republican nominee and Sam Forstag as the Democratic nominee, both of whom advanced decisively. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party a narrow lead in implied probability, consistent with the district’s mix of urban and rural voters and historical margins that have occasionally narrowed for the minority party. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the immediate aftermath of the primaries, leaving the November outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,410समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has opened Montana’s 1st Congressional District seat, creating a more competitive general election environment than in prior cycles for this western Montana district. Primaries held June 2 selected Aaron Flint as the Republican nominee and Sam Forstag as the Democratic nominee, both of whom advanced decisively. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party a narrow lead in implied probability, consistent with the district’s mix of urban and rural voters and historical margins that have occasionally narrowed for the minority party. No major new polling or endorsements have shifted positioning in the immediate aftermath of the primaries, leaving the November outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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