Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, facing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges with a scheduled trial date of June 1, 2027. Recent developments include his September 2026 motion to dismiss charges on head-of-state immunity grounds, his wife Cilia Flores’s request for house arrest citing cardiac issues, and ongoing diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, which has produced major oil agreements and prisoner releases inside Venezuela. Traders weigh these legal maneuvers, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral relations against the fixed trial timeline and lack of executive clemency signals when assessing release probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,689,487 वॉल्यूम
30 जन, 2026
31 दिसंबर
7%
$2,689,487 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$294,038 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, facing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges with a scheduled trial date of June 1, 2027. Recent developments include his September 2026 motion to dismiss charges on head-of-state immunity grounds, his wife Cilia Flores’s request for house arrest citing cardiac issues, and ongoing diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, which has produced major oil agreements and prisoner releases inside Venezuela. Traders weigh these legal maneuvers, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral relations against the fixed trial timeline and lack of executive clemency signals when assessing release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,689,487समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, facing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges with a scheduled trial date of June 1, 2027. Recent developments include his September 2026 motion to dismiss charges on head-of-state immunity grounds, his wife Cilia Flores’s request for house arrest citing cardiac issues, and ongoing diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, which has produced major oil agreements and prisoner releases inside Venezuela. Traders weigh these legal maneuvers, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral relations against the fixed trial timeline and lack of executive clemency signals when assessing release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,689,487समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, facing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges with a scheduled trial date of June 1, 2027. Recent developments include his September 2026 motion to dismiss charges on head-of-state immunity grounds, his wife Cilia Flores’s request for house arrest citing cardiac issues, and ongoing diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, which has produced major oil agreements and prisoner releases inside Venezuela. Traders weigh these legal maneuvers, potential plea negotiations, and bilateral relations against the fixed trial timeline and lack of executive clemency signals when assessing release probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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