In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 75.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing fragmented Democratic support allowing a Republican into the second spot. A SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 placed Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, while an Emerson College survey April 14-15 had Hilton leading at 17% over Steyer and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 14% each among likely voters. Democrat Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension four days ago amid allegations has spurred gains for Steyer and Xavier Becerra but failed to fully consolidate the crowded 20-Democrat field. A divided GOP endorsement at last week's state convention underscores the competitive second-place battle, with 18-23% undecideds and the economy as voters' top issue heightening uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडेम-रिप 76%
डेम-डेम 20%
रिप-रिप 4.0%
$57,768 वॉल्यूम
$57,768 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
डेम-रिप
76%
डेम-डेम
20%
रिप-रिप
4%
डेम-रिप 76%
डेम-डेम 20%
रिप-रिप 4.0%
$57,768 वॉल्यूम
$57,768 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
डेम-रिप
$24,691 वॉल्यूम
76%
डेम-डेम
$24,942 वॉल्यूम
20%
रिप-रिप
$8,134 वॉल्यूम
4%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 75.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing fragmented Democratic support allowing a Republican into the second spot. A SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 placed Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, while an Emerson College survey April 14-15 had Hilton leading at 17% over Steyer and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 14% each among likely voters. Democrat Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension four days ago amid allegations has spurred gains for Steyer and Xavier Becerra but failed to fully consolidate the crowded 20-Democrat field. A divided GOP endorsement at last week's state convention underscores the competitive second-place battle, with 18-23% undecideds and the economy as voters' top issue heightening uncertainty.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,768समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 75.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing fragmented Democratic support allowing a Republican into the second spot. A SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 placed Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, while an Emerson College survey April 14-15 had Hilton leading at 17% over Steyer and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 14% each among likely voters. Democrat Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension four days ago amid allegations has spurred gains for Steyer and Xavier Becerra but failed to fully consolidate the crowded 20-Democrat field. A divided GOP endorsement at last week's state convention underscores the competitive second-place battle, with 18-23% undecideds and the economy as voters' top issue heightening uncertainty.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
वॉल्यूम
$57,768समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 75.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing fragmented Democratic support allowing a Republican into the second spot. A SurveyUSA poll from April 8-10 placed Democrat Tom Steyer at 21% and Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, while an Emerson College survey April 14-15 had Hilton leading at 17% over Steyer and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 14% each among likely voters. Democrat Eric Swalwell's campaign suspension four days ago amid allegations has spurred gains for Steyer and Xavier Becerra but failed to fully consolidate the crowded 20-Democrat field. A divided GOP endorsement at last week's state convention underscores the competitive second-place battle, with 18-23% undecideds and the economy as voters' top issue heightening uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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