Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical trends—2021's 76% marked the lowest since 2006 amid voter apathy—and a decade of instability with eight presidents since 2016 fueling disillusionment. A fragmented field of 35 candidates left over 30% undecided in late polls, signaling low enthusiasm despite mandatory voting. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery failures affecting 60,000+ in Lima (30% of voters), power outages, and voting extensions to April 13, sparked protests and likely suppressed participation from prior 81% averages. Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%, but pending official ONPE tallies amid slow counts sustain caution on higher bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया70-75% 82.0%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 5.3%
70% से कम 1.1%
$124,527 वॉल्यूम
$124,527 वॉल्यूम
70% से कम
1%
70-75%
82%
75-80%
11%
80-85%
5%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 82.0%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 5.3%
70% से कम 1.1%
$124,527 वॉल्यूम
$124,527 वॉल्यूम
70% से कम
1%
70-75%
82%
75-80%
11%
80-85%
5%
> 85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical trends—2021's 76% marked the lowest since 2006 amid voter apathy—and a decade of instability with eight presidents since 2016 fueling disillusionment. A fragmented field of 35 candidates left over 30% undecided in late polls, signaling low enthusiasm despite mandatory voting. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery failures affecting 60,000+ in Lima (30% of voters), power outages, and voting extensions to April 13, sparked protests and likely suppressed participation from prior 81% averages. Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%, but pending official ONPE tallies amid slow counts sustain caution on higher bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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