Recent polls, including a State Navigate survey of 707 likely voters from April 10-13 showing 51% Yes to 45% No (margin of error ±3.7%), capture razor-thin support for Virginia's constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts pending voter approval, fueling trader consensus on narrow passage margins. Strong early voting turnout exceeding 810,000 ballots—outpacing prior elections—has heightened uncertainty, with Republicans mobilizing rural voters and independents leaning against (56% No). Partisan divides (92% Democrats Yes, 95% Republicans No) and low-turnout special election dynamics position Pass 3-6% at 35.5% and 6-9% at 24%, while No Pass at 17.8% reflects risks from motivated opposition ahead of the April 21 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाVirginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory
Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory
Pass 3-6% 35%
Pass 6-9% 25%
No Pass 17.8%
Pass <3% 17%
$10,587 वॉल्यूम
$10,587 वॉल्यूम
21 अप्रैल, 2026
Pass 15%+
2%
Pass 12-15%
3%
Pass 9-12%
8%
Pass 6-9%
25%
Pass 3-6%
35%
Pass <3%
17%
No Pass
18%
Pass 3-6% 35%
Pass 6-9% 25%
No Pass 17.8%
Pass <3% 17%
$10,587 वॉल्यूम
$10,587 वॉल्यूम
21 अप्रैल, 2026
Pass 15%+
$1,223 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pass 12-15%
$471 वॉल्यूम
3%
Pass 9-12%
$1,187 वॉल्यूम
8%
Pass 6-9%
$412 वॉल्यूम
25%
Pass 3-6%
$1,221 वॉल्यूम
35%
Pass <3%
$457 वॉल्यूम
17%
No Pass
$5,616 वॉल्यूम
18%
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls, including a State Navigate survey of 707 likely voters from April 10-13 showing 51% Yes to 45% No (margin of error ±3.7%), capture razor-thin support for Virginia's constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts pending voter approval, fueling trader consensus on narrow passage margins. Strong early voting turnout exceeding 810,000 ballots—outpacing prior elections—has heightened uncertainty, with Republicans mobilizing rural voters and independents leaning against (56% No). Partisan divides (92% Democrats Yes, 95% Republicans No) and low-turnout special election dynamics position Pass 3-6% at 35.5% and 6-9% at 24%, while No Pass at 17.8% reflects risks from motivated opposition ahead of the April 21 vote.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,587समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls, including a State Navigate survey of 707 likely voters from April 10-13 showing 51% Yes to 45% No (margin of error ±3.7%), capture razor-thin support for Virginia's constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts pending voter approval, fueling trader consensus on narrow passage margins. Strong early voting turnout exceeding 810,000 ballots—outpacing prior elections—has heightened uncertainty, with Republicans mobilizing rural voters and independents leaning against (56% No). Partisan divides (92% Democrats Yes, 95% Republicans No) and low-turnout special election dynamics position Pass 3-6% at 35.5% and 6-9% at 24%, while No Pass at 17.8% reflects risks from motivated opposition ahead of the April 21 vote.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,587समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including a State Navigate survey of 707 likely voters from April 10-13 showing 51% Yes to 45% No (margin of error ±3.7%), capture razor-thin support for Virginia's constitutional amendment allowing the General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts pending voter approval, fueling trader consensus on narrow passage margins. Strong early voting turnout exceeding 810,000 ballots—outpacing prior elections—has heightened uncertainty, with Republicans mobilizing rural voters and independents leaning against (56% No). Partisan divides (92% Democrats Yes, 95% Republicans No) and low-turnout special election dynamics position Pass 3-6% at 35.5% and 6-9% at 24%, while No Pass at 17.8% reflects risks from motivated opposition ahead of the April 21 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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