Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing mass pardons for January 6 defendants on his first day in office and additional grants for 2020 election-related figures, political allies, and individuals convicted of fraud or corruption. These actions, often bypassing standard Department of Justice review processes, have shaped expectations for further grants before the end of 2026. Trader focus centers on individuals with ongoing legal exposure, personal or political connections, or public advocacy from allies, amid reports of influential advocates shaping decisions outside formal channels. With limited time remaining in the resolution window, any announcements tied to year-end reviews or specific high-profile cases could shift outcomes, while the absence of new developments would leave probabilities anchored to existing patterns of selective clemency.