Recent incidents on Anthropic's Claude platform, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork on August 28 tied to an upstream cloud provider and multiple model-specific errors on August 24 lasting roughly three hours, have shaped trader views on total downtime days. These events, alongside earlier partial outages on dates like the 18th, 19th, and 20th, reflect ongoing infrastructure strain from rapid scaling of large language models and agentic features, yet most were brief, component-specific, and resolved without widespread core chatbot unavailability. Market-implied odds favoring 5-7 days (66.5%) over higher counts stem from this pattern of contained incidents rather than prolonged platform-wide failures, with the month-end resolution window leaving little room for last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5-7 66.7%
8-10 34%
11-13 <1%
14+ <1%
$48,976 वॉल्यूम
$48,976 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
5-7
67%
8-10
34%
11-13
<1%
14+
<1%
5-7 66.7%
8-10 34%
11-13 <1%
14+ <1%
$48,976 वॉल्यूम
$48,976 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
5-7
$14,582 वॉल्यूम
67%
8-10
$13,090 वॉल्यूम
34%
11-13
$6,030 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14+
$5,836 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents on Anthropic's Claude platform, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork on August 28 tied to an upstream cloud provider and multiple model-specific errors on August 24 lasting roughly three hours, have shaped trader views on total downtime days. These events, alongside earlier partial outages on dates like the 18th, 19th, and 20th, reflect ongoing infrastructure strain from rapid scaling of large language models and agentic features, yet most were brief, component-specific, and resolved without widespread core chatbot unavailability. Market-implied odds favoring 5-7 days (66.5%) over higher counts stem from this pattern of contained incidents rather than prolonged platform-wide failures, with the month-end resolution window leaving little room for last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$48,976समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents on Anthropic's Claude platform, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork on August 28 tied to an upstream cloud provider and multiple model-specific errors on August 24 lasting roughly three hours, have shaped trader views on total downtime days. These events, alongside earlier partial outages on dates like the 18th, 19th, and 20th, reflect ongoing infrastructure strain from rapid scaling of large language models and agentic features, yet most were brief, component-specific, and resolved without widespread core chatbot unavailability. Market-implied odds favoring 5-7 days (66.5%) over higher counts stem from this pattern of contained incidents rather than prolonged platform-wide failures, with the month-end resolution window leaving little room for last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$48,976समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent incidents on Anthropic's Claude platform, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork on August 28 tied to an upstream cloud provider and multiple model-specific errors on August 24 lasting roughly three hours, have shaped trader views on total downtime days. These events, alongside earlier partial outages on dates like the 18th, 19th, and 20th, reflect ongoing infrastructure strain from rapid scaling of large language models and agentic features, yet most were brief, component-specific, and resolved without widespread core chatbot unavailability. Market-implied odds favoring 5-7 days (66.5%) over higher counts stem from this pattern of contained incidents rather than prolonged platform-wide failures, with the month-end resolution window leaving little room for last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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