Hamas's categorical rejection of a US-led Board of Peace disarmament proposal two days ago has stalled Gaza ceasefire negotiations, with the group insisting on full Israeli troop withdrawal and compliance with prior commitments before discussing weapons handover. The plan, demanding phased surrender of all Hamas arms including small weapons for reconstruction aid, faced an initial deadline last week that sources say may extend amid mediator pressure. Earlier March proposals similarly met resistance, reflecting Hamas's red lines against demilitarization without security guarantees. Traders watch for potential deadline shifts or escalations, as ongoing talks link disarmament to broader peace efforts, though historical patterns show low compliance in such high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या हमास... द्वारा निरस्त्रीकरण करने के लिए सहमत होगा?
क्या हमास... द्वारा निरस्त्रीकरण करने के लिए सहमत होगा?
$1,636,368 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
18%
$1,636,368 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
18%
Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hamas's categorical rejection of a US-led Board of Peace disarmament proposal two days ago has stalled Gaza ceasefire negotiations, with the group insisting on full Israeli troop withdrawal and compliance with prior commitments before discussing weapons handover. The plan, demanding phased surrender of all Hamas arms including small weapons for reconstruction aid, faced an initial deadline last week that sources say may extend amid mediator pressure. Earlier March proposals similarly met resistance, reflecting Hamas's red lines against demilitarization without security guarantees. Traders watch for potential deadline shifts or escalations, as ongoing talks link disarmament to broader peace efforts, though historical patterns show low compliance in such high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न