OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models throughout 2025 and 2026, with GPT-5.5 arriving in April as the latest major step forward in reasoning, agentic coding, and tool use before iterative refinements to the Instant variant in late May. This pattern of frequent capability upgrades, alongside retirements of older models like GPT-4.5 and o3, reflects intense internal development momentum and competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude series and Google’s Gemini updates. Traders monitoring the market weigh these confirmed launches against typical timelines for next-generation jumps like GPT-6, upcoming API expansions, and any regulatory or infrastructure signals that could accelerate or delay a new flagship release before key resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$24,715 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
June 30
83%
September 30
97%
$24,715 वॉल्यूम
June 30
$7,937 वॉल्यूम
83%
September 30
$11,400 वॉल्यूम
97%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models throughout 2025 and 2026, with GPT-5.5 arriving in April as the latest major step forward in reasoning, agentic coding, and tool use before iterative refinements to the Instant variant in late May. This pattern of frequent capability upgrades, alongside retirements of older models like GPT-4.5 and o3, reflects intense internal development momentum and competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude series and Google’s Gemini updates. Traders monitoring the market weigh these confirmed launches against typical timelines for next-generation jumps like GPT-6, upcoming API expansions, and any regulatory or infrastructure signals that could accelerate or delay a new flagship release before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,715समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models throughout 2025 and 2026, with GPT-5.5 arriving in April as the latest major step forward in reasoning, agentic coding, and tool use before iterative refinements to the Instant variant in late May. This pattern of frequent capability upgrades, alongside retirements of older models like GPT-4.5 and o3, reflects intense internal development momentum and competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude series and Google’s Gemini updates. Traders monitoring the market weigh these confirmed launches against typical timelines for next-generation jumps like GPT-6, upcoming API expansions, and any regulatory or infrastructure signals that could accelerate or delay a new flagship release before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$24,715समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence for its GPT-5 family of frontier large language models throughout 2025 and 2026, with GPT-5.5 arriving in April as the latest major step forward in reasoning, agentic coding, and tool use before iterative refinements to the Instant variant in late May. This pattern of frequent capability upgrades, alongside retirements of older models like GPT-4.5 and o3, reflects intense internal development momentum and competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude series and Google’s Gemini updates. Traders monitoring the market weigh these confirmed launches against typical timelines for next-generation jumps like GPT-6, upcoming API expansions, and any regulatory or infrastructure signals that could accelerate or delay a new flagship release before key resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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