Russian forces continued offensive operations southeast of Sumy City near Pokrovka on April 14-15, 2026, but achieved no confirmed advances according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), with efforts shifting toward Myropilske where shallow gains under one kilometer were reported. Ukrainian officials, including the 14th Army Corps, reaffirmed control of Pokrovka as recently as March 21 by raising their flag over the village amid Russian claims of seizure, highlighting persistent contested status along this border frontline. Traders weigh slow Russian progress against Ukrainian drone and artillery interdiction, with the market resolving on ISW maps shading a specific Pokrovka intersection red by April 30; ongoing strikes and no major escalations underscore uncertainty in the two-week window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$61,014 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
12%
$61,014 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
12%
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png
Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png
Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 26, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png
Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png
Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continued offensive operations southeast of Sumy City near Pokrovka on April 14-15, 2026, but achieved no confirmed advances according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), with efforts shifting toward Myropilske where shallow gains under one kilometer were reported. Ukrainian officials, including the 14th Army Corps, reaffirmed control of Pokrovka as recently as March 21 by raising their flag over the village amid Russian claims of seizure, highlighting persistent contested status along this border frontline. Traders weigh slow Russian progress against Ukrainian drone and artillery interdiction, with the market resolving on ISW maps shading a specific Pokrovka intersection red by April 30; ongoing strikes and no major escalations underscore uncertainty in the two-week window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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