Recent polls like the State Navigate survey (April 10-13) showing 51% yes versus 45% no among likely voters, alongside a Washington Post-Schar poll at 52%-47%, reflect a slim edge for Virginia's redistricting referendum amid strong Democratic backing (92% yes) and Republican opposition (95% no). With the April 21 special election imminent and early voting through April 18, trader consensus at 85.5% yes stems from expected low turnout favoring urban and suburban Democrats, multimillion-dollar pro-amendment PAC spending, and NAACP mobilization, outweighing late GOP rural voter drives. Markets diverge from polling averages, embodying crowd wisdom on special election dynamics for the constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic General Assembly to redraw congressional districts for federal compliance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$427,030 वॉल्यूम
$427,030 वॉल्यूम
21 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$427,030 वॉल्यूम
$427,030 वॉल्यूम
21 अप्रैल, 2026
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls like the State Navigate survey (April 10-13) showing 51% yes versus 45% no among likely voters, alongside a Washington Post-Schar poll at 52%-47%, reflect a slim edge for Virginia's redistricting referendum amid strong Democratic backing (92% yes) and Republican opposition (95% no). With the April 21 special election imminent and early voting through April 18, trader consensus at 85.5% yes stems from expected low turnout favoring urban and suburban Democrats, multimillion-dollar pro-amendment PAC spending, and NAACP mobilization, outweighing late GOP rural voter drives. Markets diverge from polling averages, embodying crowd wisdom on special election dynamics for the constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic General Assembly to redraw congressional districts for federal compliance.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$427,030समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Recent polls like the State Navigate survey (April 10-13) showing 51% yes versus 45% no among likely voters, alongside a Washington Post-Schar poll at 52%-47%, reflect a slim edge for Virginia's redistricting referendum amid strong Democratic backing (92% yes) and Republican opposition (95% no). With the April 21 special election imminent and early voting through April 18, trader consensus at 85.5% yes stems from expected low turnout favoring urban and suburban Democrats, multimillion-dollar pro-amendment PAC spending, and NAACP mobilization, outweighing late GOP rural voter drives. Markets diverge from polling averages, embodying crowd wisdom on special election dynamics for the constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic General Assembly to redraw congressional districts for federal compliance.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$427,066समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls like the State Navigate survey (April 10-13) showing 51% yes versus 45% no among likely voters, alongside a Washington Post-Schar poll at 52%-47%, reflect a slim edge for Virginia's redistricting referendum amid strong Democratic backing (92% yes) and Republican opposition (95% no). With the April 21 special election imminent and early voting through April 18, trader consensus at 85.5% yes stems from expected low turnout favoring urban and suburban Democrats, multimillion-dollar pro-amendment PAC spending, and NAACP mobilization, outweighing late GOP rural voter drives. Markets diverge from polling averages, embodying crowd wisdom on special election dynamics for the constitutional amendment empowering the Democratic General Assembly to redraw congressional districts for federal compliance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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