Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million, driven by record early primary participation—including Texas Democrats' 2.2 million voters, the highest since 1970, and stronger Democratic turnout in North Carolina versus subdued Republican primary engagement. Close generic ballot polls, like recent YouGov showing Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters and larger leads among likely voters, underscore competitive dynamics boosting mobilization in battleground states. Uncertainty persists from Trump administration policies, economic pressures, and historical midterm turnout dips for the president's party; upcoming primaries and generic ballot shifts could widen separation among top outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
16%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
7%
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
16%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million, driven by record early primary participation—including Texas Democrats' 2.2 million voters, the highest since 1970, and stronger Democratic turnout in North Carolina versus subdued Republican primary engagement. Close generic ballot polls, like recent YouGov showing Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters and larger leads among likely voters, underscore competitive dynamics boosting mobilization in battleground states. Uncertainty persists from Trump administration policies, economic pressures, and historical midterm turnout dips for the president's party; upcoming primaries and generic ballot shifts could widen separation among top outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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