Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 Vol.
$43,695 Vol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 Vol.
$43,695 Vol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
$687 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,677 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,296 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,937 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,227 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,914 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$7,243 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,447 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,336 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,749 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,181 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,695Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,695Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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