Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 1?
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
41%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
$337 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
2%
26°C
$301 Vol.
6%
27°C
$123 Vol.
18%
28°C
$286 Vol.
41%
29°C
$92 Vol.
26%
30°C
$71 Vol.
5%
31°C
$128 Vol.
4%
32°C
$23 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,685Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,685Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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