Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on July 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 23?
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
42%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
1%
27°C
$119 Vol.
1%
28°C
$261 Vol.
6%
29°C
$489 Vol.
22%
30°C
$284 Vol.
42%
31°C
$694 Vol.
27%
32°C
$426 Vol.
3%
33°C
$434 Vol.
2%
34°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,143Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,143Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan