Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on July 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 22?
32°C 56%
31°C 23%
33°C 17%
30°C 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
23%
32°C
56%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 23%
33°C 17%
30°C 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
27°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$564 Vol.
1%
30°C
$601 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,311 Vol.
23%
32°C
$1,137 Vol.
56%
33°C
$1,243 Vol.
17%
34°C
$832 Vol.
2%
35°C
$576 Vol.
1%
36°C
$356 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$8,361Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,361Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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