Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on July 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 19?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$44,106 Vol.
$44,106 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$44,106 Vol.
$44,106 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
$1,638 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,015 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,732 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,408 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,091 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$6,004 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$12,090 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$5,150 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$4,287 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,582 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$1,110 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$44,106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,106Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas indicate a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 90s°F for July 19, 2026, driven by typical midsummer southerly flow, abundant moisture, and partial cloud cover that limits full insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (45.5% implied probability) and next 92-93°F outcome (26.5%), reflecting recent model consensus that has held steady over the past several days. Seasonal climatology places Austin’s July average high near 97°F, yet current steering patterns and lingering effects from an unusually wet June have produced slightly cooler guidance than long-term norms. No strong high-pressure ridge or heat-advisory conditions are expected to push readings into the upper 90s or above, keeping 96°F+ outcomes at combined probabilities below 30%. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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