Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 19?
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 Vol.
$65,358 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 Vol.
$65,358 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
33°C or below
$3,654 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,266 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,842 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,889 Vol.
No
37°C
$10,980 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$10,389 Vol.
No
39°C
$7,426 Vol.
No
40°C
$8,286 Vol.
No
41°C
$3,984 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,159 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$485 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$65,358Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,358Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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