Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,312 Vol.
$77,312 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 1, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration data, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C on May 3, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light showers, evident in recent METAR reports with afternoon readings around 19-22°C, suppressed solar insolation and convective warming, yielding a cooler-than-average day—early May norms hover near 26°C based on historical baselines. This positioning reflects verified station measurements over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to rare data revisions from quality audits, with final CMA bulletins expected imminently to solidify resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan