Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 8?
39°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$89,140 Vol.
$89,140 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$89,140 Vol.
$89,140 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan