Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on July 7?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 Vol.
$65,324 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$65,324 Vol.
$65,324 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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