Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 26?
25°C 99.5%
24°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$11,253 Vol.
$11,253 Vol.
Jul 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
24°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$11,253 Vol.
$11,253 Vol.
Jul 26, 2026
20°C or below
$776 Vol.
No
21°C
$629 Vol.
No
22°C
$447 Vol.
No
23°C
$735 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,140 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,071 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$2,328 Vol.
No
27°C
$583 Vol.
No
28°C
$751 Vol.
No
29°C
$455 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,337 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,253Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,253Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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