Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 10?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,722 Vol.
$42,722 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,722 Vol.
$42,722 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 10, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with cooler-than-average May conditions influenced by a cold air mass from the Balkans, bringing cloudy skies, gusty winds, and scattered showers that suppressed daytime heating, per Turkish State Meteorological Service reports. Historical May highs at the airport average 20-22°C, making this reading consistent with climatological norms under unsettled weather patterns. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors or data discrepancies, though final NOAA quality-controlled records could theoretically prompt minor adjustments if preliminary hourly METARs are refined.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan