Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Vol.
$53,144 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Vol.
$53,144 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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