Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Vol.
$50,850 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Vol.
$50,850 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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