Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Vol.
$311,729 Vol.
May 25, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Vol.
$311,729 Vol.
May 25, 2026
12°C or below
$623 Vol.
No
13°C
$548 Vol.
No
14°C
$540 Vol.
No
15°C
$546 Vol.
No
16°C
$547 Vol.
No
17°C
$492 Vol.
No
18°C
$301,012 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,586 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,947 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,547 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,340 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$311,729Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$311,729Tanggal Berakhir
May 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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