Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan