Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 21?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 Vol.
$49,682 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 Vol.
$49,682 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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