Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on July 22?
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 19%
26°C 14%
$16,996 Vol.
$16,996 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
39%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 19%
26°C 14%
$16,996 Vol.
$16,996 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
39%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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