Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 12?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,955 Vol.
$33,955 Vol.
May 12, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,955 Vol.
$33,955 Vol.
May 12, 2026
23°C or below
$791 Vol.
No
24°C
$805 Vol.
No
25°C
$485 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,057 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,233 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,481 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,907 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,102 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,108 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$6,888 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$33,955Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,955Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, driven by National Weather Service short-range forecasts and model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles projecting afternoon peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar insolation. Surface observations this morning already exceed 28°C with low dew points limiting convective interference, aligning with historical May records up to 35°C during similar ridging patterns. Realistic shifts downward could arise from unanticipated sea-breeze enhancement, marine stratus intrusion, or isolated thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though current soundings indicate minimal upset risk before daily maximum resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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