Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 28?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$29,384 Vol.
$29,384 Vol.
Jul 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$29,384 Vol.
$29,384 Vol.
Jul 28, 2026
22°C or below
$385 Vol.
No
23°C
$417 Vol.
No
24°C
$330 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,935 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,957 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,885 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,999 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,477 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$4,114 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,146 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$739 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$29,384Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,384Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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