Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a cooler-than-average day in São Paulo on September 6, driven by southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a frontal boundary. These conditions limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range, well below the September climatological average near 23°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes, consistent with the latest model runs while allowing for minor upward adjustments if rain timing shifts. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings amid ongoing precipitation and gusty southeast winds. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 6?
16°C 42%
17°C 26%
15°C 16%
18°C 6%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
42%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
17°C 26%
15°C 16%
18°C 6%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
42%
17°C
26%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a cooler-than-average day in São Paulo on September 6, driven by southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a frontal boundary. These conditions limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the 13–15°C range, well below the September climatological average near 23°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16°C and 17°C as the leading outcomes, consistent with the latest model runs while allowing for minor upward adjustments if rain timing shifts. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings amid ongoing precipitation and gusty southeast winds. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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