Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22 most likely between 24–26 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with early summer moisture transport limit daytime heating. This keeps readings below the late-June climatological average near 28 °C while producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiative flux under overcast skies, all of which introduce forecast spread that traders weigh against official guidance updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$313,894 Vol.
$313,894 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$313,894 Vol.
$313,894 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
18°C or below
$3,427 Vol.
No
19°C
$457 Vol.
No
20°C
$995 Vol.
No
21°C
$965 Vol.
No
22°C
$25,962 Vol.
No
23°C
$118,351 Vol.
No
24°C
$67,571 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$26,899 Vol.
No
26°C
$30,228 Vol.
No
27°C
$20,180 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$18,860 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22 most likely between 24–26 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with early summer moisture transport limit daytime heating. This keeps readings below the late-June climatological average near 28 °C while producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiative flux under overcast skies, all of which introduce forecast spread that traders weigh against official guidance updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$313,894Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22 most likely between 24–26 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with early summer moisture transport limit daytime heating. This keeps readings below the late-June climatological average near 28 °C while producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiative flux under overcast skies, all of which introduce forecast spread that traders weigh against official guidance updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$313,894Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22 most likely between 24–26 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with early summer moisture transport limit daytime heating. This keeps readings below the late-June climatological average near 28 °C while producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiative flux under overcast skies, all of which introduce forecast spread that traders weigh against official guidance updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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