Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 20?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,779 Vol.
$51,779 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,779 Vol.
$51,779 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
$1,275 Vol.
No
27°C
$724 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,077 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,556 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,665 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,638 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,224 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$9,310 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,933 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,818 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,558 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$51,779Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,779Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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