**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, aligning with the city's typical late-summer monsoon pattern of hot, humid conditions.** Official and ensemble model guidance shows peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that support heat indices well above the air temperature. Historical August averages near 31–32°C highs provide climatological context for this outcome. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects near-unanimous trader assessment of the forecast consensus. Only an abrupt, unpredicted shift such as rapid cloud cover buildup or a stronger-than-expected frontal passage could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
32°C or higher 99.4%
31°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
99%
32°C or higher 99.4%
31°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$657 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$200 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$362 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, aligning with the city's typical late-summer monsoon pattern of hot, humid conditions.** Official and ensemble model guidance shows peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that support heat indices well above the air temperature. Historical August averages near 31–32°C highs provide climatological context for this outcome. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects near-unanimous trader assessment of the forecast consensus. Only an abrupt, unpredicted shift such as rapid cloud cover buildup or a stronger-than-expected frontal passage could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,060Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, aligning with the city's typical late-summer monsoon pattern of hot, humid conditions.** Official and ensemble model guidance shows peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that support heat indices well above the air temperature. Historical August averages near 31–32°C highs provide climatological context for this outcome. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects near-unanimous trader assessment of the forecast consensus. Only an abrupt, unpredicted shift such as rapid cloud cover buildup or a stronger-than-expected frontal passage could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,060Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, aligning with the city's typical late-summer monsoon pattern of hot, humid conditions.** Official and ensemble model guidance shows peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that support heat indices well above the air temperature. Historical August averages near 31–32°C highs provide climatological context for this outcome. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects near-unanimous trader assessment of the forecast consensus. Only an abrupt, unpredicted shift such as rapid cloud cover buildup or a stronger-than-expected frontal passage could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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